RRPC 2017 - Regional Migration - Dr Andrew Butt - La Trobe ...

RRPC 2017 - Regional Migration - Dr Andrew Butt - La Trobe ...

Regional Migration Andrew Butt MAV Rural and Regional Conference Inverloch, June 2017 latrobe.edu.au

CRICOS Provider 00115M Regional Migration: Typologies and Visibility How can we understand counter-urbanisation Typologies of migration; push and pull, cohorts and drivers What the census tells us, and doesnt Looking for evidence of the regionalisation of multiculturalism

Issues with the census and its alternatives La Trobe University 2 -

How are we experiencing counter-urbanisation in Victoria? Long term trends: ' tree-change, ' affordability, ' extreme commuting,

' retirement migration Recent observations: ' direct international migration, ' (im)permanence, seasonality La Trobe University

4 Counter-urbanisation and its characteristics Who is moving; income, age, economic linkages, rural-urban characteristics 2006-2011 migration data (October 2017 for next data) Twenty variables for over 100 locations

Dimension reduction and cluster analysis (if you are interested!) La Trobe University 6 Counter-urbanisation and its characteristics

Clustering locations - age, income, presumed drivers, links to metropolitan economies. Five clusters: 1. high incomes, higher growth and the inward movement of professionals (rural gentrification?) 2. ageing and the inward movement of older (and pre) retirees 3. inward movement of unemployed and lower incomes

(forced relocation?) 4. low growth and limited socio-economic change (rurality) 5. urbanisation growth characteristics (exurbia) La Trobe University 7

Butt, A. (2014) Developing a typology of changing multi-functional regions, Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 20(2) pp. 233-257 Inverloch-Wonthaggi (age structure 2006-2016) -

Lorne-Anglesea (age structure 2006-2016) - Maryborough (age structure 2006-2016)

- Leongatha (age structure 2006-2016) - Bacchus Marsh-Melton (age structure 2006-2016)

- - Rural Retirement Migration Winterton & Butt (forthcoming) Local government

perspectives on rural retirement migration and social sustainability Services, the nature (and notion) of participation, expectations of services, diversity of needs Based on interviews (LG staff and others) in 3 types of local government areas: amenity, peri-urban, agricultural

La Trobe University 15 Diffusion of CALD what it means in regional Victoria Long-standing barrier on the metro fringe

Significant suburbanisation of migration in recent decades Is there (yet) evidence of regionalisation beyond some clear pockets what may prevent us knowing? La Trobe University 16

Sou Source: The Age 28 June 2017 Source: The Guardian (Australia) 27 June 2017

The challenges for understanding regional migration Who is it and how do we count it? Small numbers, and is the census sufficient? Seasonality, chain migration, permanence and impermanence Ex-urbanisation, regional skilled migration, seasonal labour

force, humanitarian settlement La Trobe University 19 Robinvale Place of Birth 2006

Robinvale Place of Birth 2016 What it means for housing, services, emerging community life Who is it and how do we count it?

Small numbers, and is the census sufficient? Seasonality, chain migration, permanence and impermanence Ex-urbanisation, regional skilled migration, seasonal labour force, humanitarian settlement Legal status and the census La Trobe University

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